The evolving fortunes of the magazine industry

© Icqurimage 2006

The magazine racks have witnessed an explosion of new titles over the past ten years, a growth which has been especially evident in the number of sleek men’s editions which promote lifestyle, luxury and libido. However, the swelling ranks of attention-grabbing men’s magazines appear in stark contrast to the relatively small number of publishers, who are conspicuous only by their absence. The glaring question is to ask just how large the model magazine industry is, and perhaps who the major players are? As technology evolves, so do consumer tastes. Accordingly in this article we take a look at current trends within the magazine industry, and see if we are able to see through the lucrative haze of glossy covers into its electronic future. Whilst many industries seem to be only too keen to declare their net worth to the world, the colourful industry of the men’s magazine appears comparatively shy and elusive about its own figures, if not those of its subjects. In this article Icqurimage tries to hunt down some facts and figures to gauge the real proportions of the men’s magazine market.

The rise and rise of the men’s magazine industry

At the 35th FIPP World Magazine Congress, held amidst the splendour of New York’s Waldorf-Astoria Hotel, William T. Kerr, President of the FIPP addressed an industry devoted to ‘creating editorial products that entertain, engage, excite and enlighten our readers’. The President reflected upon a steady increase in circulation of late, perhaps unspectacular when compared to the explosive growth at the end of the 90’s, which he described as ‘a period of growth I suspect we may not see replicated again anytime soon’.
In an interesting address, Mr.Kerr claimed that Western ‘magazine readers continue to respond to editorial that speaks directly to their lifestyles and aspirations’, and looked towards the expanding economies of China, Russia and Eastern Europe for future growth. So how do these bold words translate into numbers of dollars, euros and pounds? The answer is not so easy to come by, largely because men’s magazines are run by a small number of private companies whose corporate identity carefully veils a range of titles and substantial revenues.
However, some publishers are more open than others, and the UK’s number two consumer magazine publisher Emap recently announced pre-tax profits of £205m from a turnover of £1.1bn for 2005. The company showed an actual growth in revenues of 5% through September 2005, matching the UK’s pattern of growth in consumer magazine circulations and advertising. Emap’s expansion has been driven primarily by the strong increase in circulation of leading men’s magazine Zoo and from Internet advertising revenues, up 80% on the year.
In 2004 UK consumer spending on magazines reached £2bn for the first time, with a combined circulation of 1.4 million copies which was driven by a sharp growth in the market for men’s weeklies. Despite the rapid growth of new media such as the Internet, Sky and Cable TV over the past decade, consumer expenditure upon magazines has still increased by 34% in the same period. This demonstrates, especially in the image-rich world of modelling, that hard copy is still king. However, despite a growth in the market for men’s weeklies, the circulation of monthly magazine titles has in fact fallen by 6% over the past year. Clearly consumers are declaring their new found taste for current content. The patterns in the UK magazine industry are shown on the graph inset, with an upwards trend in both circulation and revenues.
W.H. Smith, one the UK’s leading magazine retailers, accredited its return to profitability in 2005 to increased magazine sales, with profits up 59% to £73m. Even Playboy, that iconic and ailing colossus of the men’s magazine industry, reported a net first quarter profit of $0.8 million for 2006, compared to a net loss for the last quarter of 2005 of $13 million. It would appear then that men’s magazines are very much back in vogue. Sex it seems never goes out of fashion, or at least fantasising about it doesn’t.
The British men's magazine market is currently thriving, with reports of a steady growth in circulations, profits and advertising revenues. Currently the biggest circulation war is between the weekly men’s publications Zoo (published by Emap) and Nuts (owned by IPC), and Zoo has recently surged by 30% in pursuit of its larger rival. Between them, Zoo and Nuts command a weekly circulation of 565,000 copies, equivalent to 1% of the total UK population.
Emap’s FHM, with a circulation of over 560,000, is still top dog in the UK though, with its nearest monthly rival Loaded (IPC) claiming a more modest circulation of some 237,000, closely followed by Maxim (Dennis Publishing’s) at 227,000. However, rival magazines Bizarre (Dennis) and Front (Highbury Lifestyle) have entered into a steep double digit decline, whilst the circulation of the more upmarket Esquire (Nat Mags) has remained stable at around 60,000 copies per month.
The first issue of Maxim was published in the UK in May 1995 and it quickly became a global institution for Dennis Publishing, driving Penthouse into liquidation as it changed the publishing landscape. At their peak Maxim’s revenues were in the region of $145 million, with annual profits of $50 million, although they have since declined to between $35 and $40 million. In contrast, Dennis’ other men’s monthly, Stuff, is barely profitable. The City rumour mill has major publishers Time Inc. and Hachette Filipacchi eyeing Maxim for a bid in the region of $350-400 million, not bad for a solitary men’s magazine within a competitive and expanding market. Such an asking price would put the value of the global men’s magazine market, including such titles as Club, Hustler, Playboy, FHM and Zoo, at around $15-20 billion, no small sum for an industry whose product is essentially advertising eye candy.

The rise of the electronic magazine

So how has the advent of the Internet impacted upon the empire of the print magazine? Clearly it has had little or no effect upon magazine circulations, and, if it has had any effect, it has been to shift the global economy further towards ideas, imagery and information, and in doing so has only enhanced magazine sales. However, within the magazine world, publishing empires are measured in terms of circulations, whereas on the Internet market shares are determined in terms of revenues and traffic. This has had major implications for magazine advertisers, as whilst web page impressions containing adverts may be quantified, within traditional print media, there is no reliable feedback as to whether a page containing a specific advertisement was even visited by an individual. This is good news for the advertising industry in its quest for value for money in targeting audiences.
A key market indicator is provided by Emap’s recent acquisition of the Worth Global Style Network (WGSN) for £140m, a leading international online source for the $770bn global fashion and apparel industry. WGSN.com is a trailblazer within the expanding online magazine market for fashion and retail which has grown fat from subscriptions. With over 170 staff and reported profits of £4m million in 2004 from a turnover of £15m million, their 2005 forecasts suggest an operating turnover of £19 million and a net profit of £7m. The era of the online magazine has truly dawned.
During the early days of the Internet many soothsayers predicted that the web would emerge as a global super market dominated by pharmaceuticals, pornography and poker. So far, so true as it would appear, with the adult Internet industry alone generating annual revenues in excess of £1 trillion, amounting to 15% of all Internet income, which makes it by far the most lucrative retail sector on the Internet. Until recently many of the giant magazine publishing empires have been slow to adapt to the advantages of doing business online. However, the publishing industry is slowly transforming its self-image from one of being a traditional print-orientated business to becoming a multi-media based industry of content provision. Inevitably this will result in the continued growth of paid Internet content through both micropayments and subscriptions.
As audiences are becoming increasing dominated by the new Internet generation, or Generation-I, some magazine titles have ceased to publish in print altogether, choosing to relay their content exclusively through digital media. One notable example is the teen magazine Elle Girl, which recently elected to discontinue its print edition despite increases in its circulation. The magazine will now provide content to its young readers exclusively through the Internet and mobile 3G.
Some 63% of publishers now charge for providing online content, with paid content presently amounting to 19% of all revenues. There has however been an apparent decline in micropayment revenues, with most publishers preferring to opt for subscription-based models. This marks a watershed in the evolution of the Internet - the effective end to the public perception of the web as being a ‘free’ source of information. The largest source of Internet income for AOP publishers is currently display advertising, comprising 47% of all Internet income generated through 5 billion page impressions and 3.5m unique visitors a month.
On the 16th February, 2006, CEO Christie Hefner announced that the Playboy digital edition had registered over 16,000 subscriptions, representing a growth rate of almost one hundred new subscribers a day. In response Penthouse, the recently revamped men's magazine which had previously filed for bankruptcy in 2004, launched its own digital edition in February 2006 in collaboration with Zinio Systems, from their headquarters in Boca Raton, Florida.
As Christie Hefner has recently noted, new digital editions of leading men’s magazines such as Playboy are not intended merely to maintain an existing market share within a trend towards online publications, they represent a growth mechanism for expanding into overseas markets unfettered by the customs and importation barriers that print versions commonly encounter. Indeed an expanding digital delivery of content is seen as key to the future of Playboy Enterprises, as the adult print magazine industry braces itself for a steady decline in advertising revenues and circulations.

The advent of the wireless magazine

Will the print magazine still haunt the magazine kiosks in thirty years time? Given present trends it would seem unlikely. The evolution of 3G technology, the growth of PDAs and Blackberries, and Sony’s new paperless technology may come as good news for trees, but this Hi-tech revolution will augur the death of the traditional print industry, which may soon go the way of the tram. Customised wireless editions of many popular magazines such as GQ, Time Out and Glamour are already available to 75% of mobile phone users, although the term 'mobizines' is perhaps as likely to catch on as the Sinclair C5. To download an edition of their favourite magazine onto their handset, all users have to do is to text the word 'Mobi' followed by their favourite magazine title. With regular alerts concerning latest editions, mobile users are unlikely to miss an issue during idle moments standing in line at the water cooler. Condé Nast Interactive which publishes leading titles such as Vogue and Glamour, in partnership with O2 and Vodafone, intend to offer not only access to their latest content, but also the capacity to integrate novel ‘micro-ad’ formats to boost their revenues.
Mobile adult content generated some $400 million in revenues in 2004, and by 2009 the delivery of adult content to mobiles is predicted to have become a $2 billion global industry. Many mobile service providers prefer to believe that the real hard currency within mobile content is not in hosting porn, but in recording traffic, trends, and other user related data. As with most IT innovations, the adult industry was expected to lead the technological development of the wireless revolution, and mainstream corporate industry to follow their lead. However, due to the slow advent of high resolution wireless streaming technology, the adult industry was initially reluctant to commit towards the provision of 3G content. Although relatively late entrants to the wireless content market, 2005 saw an explosive entry of major adult media brands such as Playboy, Penthouse and Private into mobile content provision. Whilst the naysayers still raise their doubts over the suitability of mobile technology as a medium for adult content, the earnings of one market pioneer WContent went cash-flow ‘positive’ within only their second month of trading.
The trade off in the consumer’s decision as to whether to access online content via mobile or PC lies between the privacy and convenience of downloading mobile adult content, and the limitations of wireless access, lower screen resolution and higher bandwidth premiums. The balance is however rapidly shifting in favour of mobile content, as new products such as the video iPod offer sufficient disk space and bandwidth to maintain the attention span of a paying adult audience. Despite widespread doubt as to the appeal and demand for adult content on miniature screens, a recent Google survey from its own mobile search software found that 20% of searches made on cell phones were for adult content. This compares favourably to searches made from desktop PCs, where only 8% were for adult content, presumably due to the restrictions presented by home and work place environments. Whether or not mobile phone users are actually invisible in their content searches, or have the right to be, they certainly believe themselves to be. As a growing number of mobile phones now support web browsers, the age of the wireless magazine with interactive content is upon us. Imagine, if you will, a group of high earners out for a night on the town searching for late night entertainment. What better medium for such a search than on a mobile phone? Which magazine or portal will have the lucrative advertising for suggesting ideas for late night adult entertainment in their city?
Click4WAP.com, a wireless search portal, claim that their traffic has doubled since the inception of links to adult content, whilst another PDA site, PhonErotica.com, records more than 600,000 clicks per month directed towards free adult content. PalmStories.com has already proven that wireless adult sites can be profitable. However, for all the lucrative ideas and talk of big money, once again it all comes down to finding a way to make content pay. SMS mobile billing is becoming a popular alternative to credit card billing, with mobile phone companies picking up the tab for access to content. On the plus side, SMS billing is fast, secure, anonymous, relatively confidential and ‘fear free’. On the downside, SMS billing is unsuitable for smaller tariffs, offers a lower margin due to hefty commissions, is network dependent, and geographically variable in its provision. Other billing solutions proposed include micropayments for smaller amounts of a $1 or less, and direct mail billing services offered by providers such as 123Bill.
Parallel advances in software, MMS, 3G and hardware technology are tearing down the barriers to entry to mobile content provision for men’s magazines. Philips have recently announced the release of a High Definition (HD) portable video screen which offers a 5 x 5 inch high resolution image when unfurled, although it is only the size of a pen when rolled away for storage. The potential appeal for adult content providers is self-evident. The future is already here – it is the interactive wireless magazine.

© Icqurimage Ltd.