Does free content spell the end for the men’s magazine?

© Icqurimage 2008


Twenty years ago the magazine shelves were ablaze with the colors of men’s titles that dominated our coffee tables and display racks. The magazine was the perfect medium with which to project images of feminine beauty in the days before podcasts, HD TV, and broadband. Glossy magazines made Paul Raymond, Hugh Hefner & Bob Guccione into social icons of the seventies & eighties, playboy entrepreneurs who made millions from selling their vision of luxury, love and penthouses to the masses. Modern-day alchemists who could turn base pigments into gold, these men inspired an explosion of new men’s titles including FHM, Maxim, Club, & Zoo. Over recent years however, the circulation of men’s titles has entered into steep decline, with the latest ABC figures suggesting more of the same. So whatever happened to the favorite peccadillo of young men, dreamers and playboys? Is the Internet, and its surfeit of free content, killing the men’s magazine, or have their natural audience transferred to other media such as the ubiquitous Play Stations and iPods? Are the big publishers successfully adapting to the explosive changes of the new media, or are they evolutionary dinosaurs who appear unable to adapt and survive in the digital age? Finally, has the transfer of image-based content from print to digital form become comparable to the gold bullions of the Spanish Main, as waves of digital pirates plunder their wares?
Recently Christie Hefner, Chief Executive of Playboy, unveiled their new Internet strategy. To counter stagnant sales and tiny profits, Playboy has decided to give away more of its precious content and to slash its magazine circulation by over 13% in an effort to reduce costs. As part of their revised policy towards the viability of free content, Playboy have increased both the provision of online content and also the proportion of that content which may be viewed free of charge. As part of their ongoing strategy to seduce a greater share of the online market, Playboy have fallen into line with other successful pioneers, such as Danni’s Hard Drive, who enriched their provision of streaming video and other explicit content for subscribers. The prevailing market view is that increasing the provision of free content drives greater Internet traffic, and that such increases in traffic augment advertising revenues and boost the numbers of subscribers. Well, that’s the theory anyway, but do the numbers really add up?

The big bang

The recession started early for the men’s magazine industry, whose circulations started to decline several years ago. For the most part they have put on a brave face, with much discussion of digital products and a rash of relaunches. FHM, now part of Bauer Consumer Media, were apparently delighted that their sales fell by only 15.1% through the year to December 2007, while sales of rival publication Maxim plummeted by 40% over the same period. Arena (Bauer) and Loaded (IPC) also declared double digit declines, although further up market Esquire and GQ actually reported modest increases in sales. Monkey, Dennis Publishing’s innovative entry into the digital market, claimed their third consecutive monthly increase. The adult sector fared little better, with Playboy reporting a quarterly loss and a 35.8% fall in magazine sales for the year, as the company looked towards new media platforms to restore the trademark to profitability. Amongst the weekly titles there were also substantial falls in circulation for both Nuts and Zoo as they felt the pinch of the digital entertainment revolution and the September debut of the free ShortList magazine, which currently tops the ABC rankings with a circulation of over 460,000.
The falling sales curves have shocked the complacent, well-heeled, and much celebrated editors of the once booming men’s magazine market. Whether the recent decline of such iconic titles as FHM, Maxim & Playboy reflects the evolution of an increasingly fragmented market which caters to niche audiences, or is entirely a consequence of the explosion of free online content is unclear. Certainly, there have been sackings, redesigns, and fresh faces galore, as the men’s sector has lurched towards free content with the debuts of Monkey and Shortlist. Mike Soutar’s new title Shortlist represents a cleaner, broader and entirely free punt at those readers who have moved on from youth titles such as Nuts & Zoo. It is interesting to note that Sport, a French-owned free weekly magazine which is handed out at London tube stations, claims to have become cash flow positive only a year after its launch, and boasts a circulation of over 300,000 copies. Just how many copies of Sport & Shortlist are opened by the hands of affluent young city gentlemen, and what proportion end up unread in the trash remains unclear, but the figures are certainly making a positive impression upon the publishing industry if not the environmentalists.
Shortlist is an interesting concept, not only due to the experience and business acumen that lies behind it, but also because it claims to target wealthy young men raised upon a diet of teenage titles. Mike Soutar, famed impresario of Smash Hits, FHM & Nuts, fervently believes that overt nudity deters magazine sales, distracting as it does from the more general content offered by modern men’s magazines. Perhaps he has a point when he suggests that the general content of FHM, Maxim and Zoo is pitched at the no man’s land which lies between explicit top shelf titles and more mainstream magazines. Soutar holds the view that younger consumers no longer expect to pay for content, and that existing niche publications and adolescent weeklies poorly serve advertisers of luxury goods. Perhaps, but then again it is only a small social elite that buy sports cars, yachts, designer watches, or holiday villas, and to such individuals the price of a men’s magazine represents chump change. After all, why work hard to be able to afford the exclusivity of such trappings, and then deign to read the same free magazines as the masses? The reality is that the Ferrari’s & Fairline’s of this world don’t tend to advertise in men’s weeklies. After all their brands are iconic and the public appetite for images of their products speaks volumes for their presence within the popular consciousness. However, it will be interesting to see where the advertising dollars will flow as the Internet and a rash of free titles sound the death knell for many struggling titles.
A collective optimism abounds amongst free content publishers that a wealth of advertising exists to make every venture profitable. However, the prevailing mountain of free content is clearly overwhelming modern consumers. Commuters display ever shorter concentration spans and have less disposable time, while those men who do have the time are not likely to have the money. Even leading ‘redtop’ publications such as the Sun and the Star rely upon news stand sales for as much as three-quarters of their income stream, revenues which they could never hope to recoup from advertising. Publishers of paid content are finding themselves under ever increasing pressure to give their content away in the vain hope that advertising revenues from increased circulations will negate lost sales. There is an underlying trend within the magazine industry that has been so subtle as to be easy overlooked amidst the media hype which surrounds the top titles. The advent of the digital media and print-on-demand has strongly favored publishers of niche titles, and these in turn are attractive to advertisers who target their readers. Thus, far below ABC’s radar, many fringe titles are thriving by catering for an increasingly discerning and fragmented market. Already we have witnessed a marked polarization within the magazine industry, with the appearance of more exclusive ‘high end’ publications, paralleled by an increase in the number of mass market titles. Naturally, there cannot be sufficient advertising to support the current range of titles, and many publications that presently haunt the mainstream market will simply not survive the recession.

The digital gold rush

It was a portent of worse to come when Emap announced the sale of Arena, Zoo and FHM to Bauer last November, a sale that was accompanied by a letter of support for its magazine portfolio. Within the print publishing industry this was widely seen as a sign of panic rather than as an indicator of confidence and renewal. There were however green shoots appearing within the industry, as FHM announced improving figures within its new media division, declaring some 1.7million online users, 289,000 mobile viewers, and 2.2 million TV channel viewers.
Of the men’s lifestyle titles, FHM and Maxim have made by far the most successful transition to the Internet, with both titles ranked among the 8,000 most popular websites on the Internet. FHM.com has delivered an impressive 5% growth in its number of unique users to 1,785,000 through January 2008 (ABC figures, see graph for Alexa figures). In contrast, Nuts and Zoo were relatively late entrants to the Internet sector, although both have seen a recent surge in their online popularity. In contrast, the initial surge in the popularity of the digital magazine Monkey appears to have been somewhat short-lived.
The Internet has proved a natural harbor for the adult industry, and the mainstream men's magazines still have some way to go to compete with their more explicit cousins on the Internet. Playboy, Hustler, & Penthouse all show a strong online popularity, although the failure of Paul Raymond’s titles to sustain a strong online presence soon became apparent.
It is tempting to speculate that the recent decline in the sales of men’s magazines is due to a migration of their readership towards online editions. However, the combined daily online audience of the men’s lifestyle magazines represents less than a thousandth of daily Internet traffic. In fact, online audiences of the leading men’s lifestyle titles have, if anything, steadily declined over the past three years. Although Playboy, Hustler & Penthouse enjoy greater traffic volumes (around 0.15% of daily Internet users), this still represents only a tiny fraction of the online market share enjoyed by popular portals such as YouTube (20%) or MySpace (6%).
Internet statistics also suggest that subscribers to online magazines are less faithful than subscribers to print versions, marking a change in both market behavior and stability. It would have been tempting to explain away the decline in the circulations of men’s magazines as being due to a growth in the popularity of their online editions. However, the marked decline in their revenues and circulations appears to be general, rather than platform specific. This is most likely due to a fragmentation in the men’s magazine market, as male consumers become more selective in their tastes and allocate more of their time towards other media such as video games and iPods.

Making content pay

FHM were perhaps the first men’s title to anticipate a mass migration of male readers towards digital formats, although Playboy might disagree. Digital editions now abound, and these offer publishers a cheaper option for international distribution. Online editions appeal particularly to the technologically tuned younger generations, who no longer associate content with hard copy. Some new titles, such as Every Model Magazine, are distributed primarily through pdf downloads and employ SMS text mobile billing to create a revenue stream. Others prefer to rely solely upon advertising, subsidy publishing, or upon subscription-based models.
Within the consumer lifestyle magazine market, advertising has now come to be viewed as the dominant model, explaining the rationale for the Fall 2006 debut of digital magazine Monkey. In exchange for free content Monkey requires all subscribers to provide at least their names, email addresses, and postcodes, in an exchange of marketing data for content. Monkey was an interesting, polished, and highly interactive market debutante, but for all its pre-launch hype and early surge in viewing figures, readers appear to have been turned off by its ‘heavy’ bandwidth requirements and time-consuming page-by-page display format. That said, electronic magazines like Icqurimage, Monkey and Every Model reduce the effective cost of taking new publishing models to market. This allows new marketing strategies, such as charging micropayments via mobile for downloads, or giving away some content to encourage sales of print-on-demand copies, to be evaluated at a substantially reduced risk. It seems entirely feasible to test the viability of a new title electronically and then to introduce a print version or paid downloads as and when a sufficient market share has been realized.
The faith of many publishers in the advertising model remains strong, although several attractive and interesting new titles have recently tested the water and failed. Internet advertising is spread thinly across the vastness of cyberspace, and there simply just isn’t enough circulating to meet the broad lifestyle expectations of editors, publishers and models. As with any emerging market sector there is a cycle of boom and bust and, unless men’s magazines follow the business models of Yahoo, MySpace or YouTube, they may find that their market credibility will become heavily overdrawn in the era of digital publishing.